At least 15 years ago, America's statisticians knew that before too long those public opinion polls that everyone loves to cite would be woefully inaccurate.
I remember reading exactly that in a scholarly journal. The reasons they discussed: the rise in use of cell phones; the use of caller ID; and the growing refusal of people to participate.
The prediction came true in the last general election.
Yet, polling continues at all levels as if those factors simply did not exist.
Now comes Cliff Zukin, writing in the Sunday edition of The New York Times, who notes that polling is getting ever harder and the results ever less relevant and reflective of actual opinion.
Zukin is among the first of the chattering classes to acknowledge that the emporer does not have a stitch of clothing on.
Will others follow suit?
Don't bet on it. As a group, pundits and newspeople are addicted to polling as if it is the only way to tell a story.
Beware as a news consumer, though: the results of those polls that will inevitably track the public love of the candidates in 2016 could be wildly inaccurate.
When I think back on my early childhood one of my favorite memories has to do with sitting in my daddy's lap while he read books to me.
The closeness, the obvious affection -- those were aspects of that experience. But, I also loved being transported by my father's voice to other worlds and other states of being as he moved through books.
I haven't thought much about it since then, but I have stumbled across a whole field of research that looks at how important it is for a child to hear books, as well as to read them.
Specifically, I have become acquainted with a website called soundlearningapa.org. There, I found research about children exposed to books being read to them.
This quote caught my immediate attention: "The single most important activity for building the knowledge required for the eventual success in reading is reading aloud to children." That is from The Report of the Commission on Reading.
We have an entire wall of books on audiodiscs here at the library. And we have a section in our children's department.
Especially during the summer months when it may be hard to lasso a kid long enough to have him or her sit down to read, perhaps audiobooks are a good answer. As Ssuan LUndsteen, professor emeritus at the University of North Texas, notes at the website: "Children who are better listeners are also better learners."
It would serve us all well to be better listeners.
The publishing industry in this country is not growing.
It's not declining, thank goodness, but it is not showing anything like robust growth, even when you add in e-books.
The industry just released its revenue figures for 2014, and they were about the same as in 2012 after a slight dip in 2013.
Revenue isn't growing and the number of units sold is not growing, either.
Nevertheless, there was growth in certain categories. Children and young adult revenues grew by 20.9 percent. In fact, that category is now bigger than the adult fiction market.
Why? Because so many adults are now reading YA. At least I think that's the case. Consider the popularity of the Mockingjay books and A Fault in our Stars.
The librarian of Congress is retiring at the age of 86 after 28 years on the job.
The New York Times reported this week that the president, who will appoint the new librarian, is beseiged by good advice from every sector. Some say he should name an academic; others say it should be a professional librarian; still others a technology expert; and even others, a management guru.
I have no advice because I have never had much to do with the Library of Congress.
But, I might be inclined to suggest he look very long and hard at a professional librarian. That's because a real librarian is likely to truly understand the depth and breadth of issues now facing public libraries. Those issues are not all technological, but technology does pose the most significant challenges, I would think.
Librarians also have a default setting about things like privacy and the importance of keeping what's publicly funded in the public domain.
There's more to libraries these days than just books, and a librarian would seem to be uniquely positioned to make the inevitable hard choices that loom ahead for every library in the world.
We lived through the Zombie Invasion of June 13, 2015!
The proof is on our new YouTube channel. Just search there for Wimberley Library. Not only do we have videos there from our first Wacky Wednesday events, but also the Zombie movie that our teen volunteers and others made Saturday afternoon.
The movie was the last part of an afternoon devoted to learning how to make a short movie.
But I think the participants may have learned more about the application of makeup!
Whatever ... we had a lot of fun. Check it out.
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